# Code a Probabilistic Sequencer

In a previous episode of this Sonic Pi series we explored the power of randomisation to introduce variety, surprise and change into our live coded tracks and performances. For example, we randomly picked notes from a scale to create never-ending melodies. Today we’re going to learn a new technique which uses randomisation for rhythm - probabilistic beats!

## Wahrscheinlichkeit

Before we can start making new beats and synth rhythms we need to take a quick dive into the basics of probability. This might sound daunting and complicated, but really it’s just as simple as rolling a dice - honestly! When you take a regular 6 sided board game dice and roll it what’s actually happening? Well, firstly you’ll roll either a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6 with exactly the same chance of getting any of the numbers. In fact, given that it’s a 6 sided dice, on average (if you roll lots and lots of times) you’ll throw a 1 every 6 throws. This means you have a 1 in 6 chance of throwing a 1. We can emulate dice rolls in Sonic Pi with the fn `dice`. Let’s roll one 8 times:

    8.times do
      puts dice
      sleep 1
    end

Notice how the log prints values between 1 and 6 just as if we’d rolled a real dice ourselves.

## Zufällige Beats

Now imagine you had a drum and every time you were about to hit it you rolled a dice. If you rolled a 1, you hit the drum and if you rolled any other number you didn’t. You now have a probabilistic drum machine working with a probability of 1/6! Let’s hear what that sounds like:

    live_loop :random_beat do
      sample :drum_snare_hard if dice == 1
      sleep 0.125
    end

Let’s quickly go over each line to make sure everything is very clear. First we create a new `live_loop` called `:random_beat` which will continually repeat the two lines between `do` and `end`. The first of these lines is a call to `sample` which will play a pre-recorded sound (the `:drum_snare_hard` sound in this case). However, this line has a special conditional `if` ending. This means that the line will only be executed if the statement on the right hand side of the `if` is `true`. The statement in this case is `dice == 1`. This calls our `dice` function which, as we have seen, returns a value between 1 and 6. We then use the equality operator `==` to check to see if this value is `1`. If it is `1`, then the statement resolves to `true` and our snare drum sounds, if it isn’t `1` then the statement resolves to `false` and the snare is skipped. The second line simply waits for `0.125` seconds before rolling the dice again.

## Wahrscheinlichkeiten ändern

Those of you that have played role play games will be familiar with lots of strangely shaped dice with different ranges. For example there is the tetrahedron shaped dice which has 4 sides and even a 20 sided dice in the shape of a icosahedron. The number of sides on the dice changes the chance, or probability of rolling a 1. The fewer sides, the more likely you are to roll a 1 and the more sides the less likely. For example, with a 4 sided dice, there’s a one in 4 chance of rolling a 1 and with a 20 sided dice there’s a one in 20 chance. Luckily, Sonic Pi has the handy `one_in` fn for describing exactly this. Let’s play:

    live_loop :different_probabilities do
      sample :drum_snare_hard if one_in(6)
      sleep 0.125
    end

Start the live loop above and you’ll hear the familiar random rhythm. However, don’t stop the code running. Instead, change the `6` to a different value such as `2` or `20` and hit the `Run` button again. Notice that lower numbers mean the snare drum sounds more frequently and higher numbers mean the snare triggers fewer times. You’re making music with probabilities!

## Wahrscheinlichkeiten kombinieren

Things get really exciting when you combine multiple samples being triggered with different probabilities. For example:

    live_loop :multi_beat do
      sample :elec_hi_snare if one_in(6)
      sample :drum_cymbal_closed if one_in(2)
      sample :drum_cymbal_pedal if one_in(3)
      sample :bd_haus if one_in(4)
      sleep 0.125
    end

Again, run the code above and then start changing the probabilities to modify the rhythm. Also, try changing the samples to create an entirely new feel. For example try changing `:drum_cymbal_closed` to `:bass_hit_c` for extra bass!

## Wiederholbare Rhythmen

Next, we can use our old friend `use_random_seed` to reset the random stream after 8 iterations to create a regular beat. Type the following code to hear a much more regular and repeating rhythm. Once you hear the beat, try changing the seed value from `1000` to another number. Notice how different numbers generate different beats.

    live_loop :multi_beat do
      use_random_seed 1000
      8.times do
        sample :elec_hi_snare if one_in(6)
        sample :drum_cymbal_closed if one_in(2)
        sample :drum_cymbal_pedal if one_in(3)
        sample :bd_haus if one_in(4)
        sleep 0.125
      end
    end

One thing I tend to do with this kind of structure is to remember which seeds sound good and make a note of them. That way I can easily re-create my rhythms in future practice sessions or performances.

## Alles zusammenführen

Finally, we can throw in some random bass to give it some nice melodic content. Notice that we can also use our newly discovered probabilistic sequencing method on synths just as well as samples. Don’t leave it at that though - tweak the numbers and make your own track with the power of probabilities!

    live_loop :multi_beat do
      use_random_seed 2000
      8.times do
        c = rrand(70, 130)
        n = (scale :e1, :minor_pentatonic).take(3).choose
        synth :tb303, note: n, release: 0.1, cutoff: c if rand < 0.9
        sample :elec_hi_snare if one_in(6)
        sample :drum_cymbal_closed if one_in(2)
        sample :drum_cymbal_pedal if one_in(3)
        sample :bd_haus, amp: 1.5 if one_in(4)
        sleep 0.125
      end
    end